</noscript><center> <!--顶部链接 begin--> <table cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=890 border=0> <tr> <td width=5 bgColor=#ffffff><IMG height=5 src="/img/corner01.gif" width=5></td> <td width=885 bgColor=#ffffff></td> </tr> </table> <table cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=890 bgColor=#ffffff border=0> <tr> <td align=center> <table cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=882 border=0> <tr align=left> <td width=255><A href="/fishmeal/"><IMG height=40 alt=鱼粉-中国饲料行业信息网 src="/img/logo_market_fishmeal.gif" width=250 border=0></A></td> <td> <table cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0> <tr> <td class=toplink><script language='javascript' src='/ad/200807/299.js'></script></td> </tr> <tr> <td bgColor=#999999 height=1></td> </tr> <tr> <td class=toplink><script language='javascript' src='/ad/200806/284.js'></script></td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> </table> <table cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=882 align=center border=0> <tr> <td class=w width=749 bgColor=#009664 height=5></td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> </table> <!--页面内容开始--> <table width="890" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"> <tr> <td align="center"><table width="880" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2"> <tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#D9EED5">您现在的位置： <a class='LinkPath' href='http://www.feedtrade.com.cn/'>中国饲料行业信息网</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/fishmeal/Index.html'>鱼粉</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/fishmeal/fishmeal_forecast/Index.html'>分析预测</a> >> 鱼粉正文</td> </tr> </table> <table width="850" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td height="4"></td> </tr> </table></td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center"><table width="880" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td width="585" align="center" valign="top" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1" bgcolor="#999999"> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="96%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="０" cellspacing="０"> <tr> <td height="50" align="center"><h1>CFT 6月鱼粉月报：鱼粉行情大幅上涨</h1></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="24" align="center"><table width="88%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1"> <tr> <td>文章来源：<font color="#000099">本站原创</font></td> <td>更新时间：<font color="#000099">2008-6-30</font></td> <td>点击数：<script language='javascript' src='/fishmeal/GetHits.asp?ArticleID=208063'></script></td> <td><img src="/img/talk.gif" width="15" height="13"></td> <td><a href="#comment">评论本文</a></td> </tr> </table></td> </tr> </table> <table width="96%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="０" cellspacing="０"> <tr> <td align="center" class="big"><hr></td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center"><script type="text/javascript"><!-- google_ad_client = "pub-0763453991977372"; /* 468x60, 创建于 08-7-12 */ google_ad_slot = "5308514310"; google_ad_width = 468; google_ad_height = 60; //--> </script> <script type="text/javascript" src="http://pagead2.googlesyndication.com/pagead/show_ads.js"> </script></td> </tr> <tr> <td align="left" class="text"><div class="ReplyContent"><P> <STRONG>一、中国饲料行业信息网分析2008年6月份国内鱼粉市场总体现状</STRONG></P> <P> 2008年6月，纵观国内鱼粉市场，鱼粉价格行情延续上个月的涨势大幅度上涨。本月月初，国内65%蛋白直火鱼粉价格主流报价为7650-7700元/吨，到6月23日与份价格已经达到峰值8000元/吨。此后鱼粉价格一直保持坚挺稳定的势态。仔细分析鱼粉走势，我们不难看出随着国际豆粕价格的狂飙，鱼粉价格尾随其后也大幅度上涨，但是现对于豆粕来说相对的滞后。中旬豆粕涨势有所缓和处于正当阶段时，鱼粉价格开始保持稳定。可见豆粕的行情对鱼粉价格的改变起了重要的作用。另外油价的上涨，需求增加等因素也起了重要的作用。</P> <P> <STRONG>二、中国饲料行业信息网2008年6月针对国内蛋鱼粉市场各环节的分析情况</STRONG></P> <P><STRONG> 国内市场</STRONG></P> <P> １、随着气温的逐渐升高，水产养殖业使用鱼粉的量开始增大，豆粕的强势增加鱼粉在饲料中的重要地位，不少的厂家开始用植物蛋白和鱼粉等来代替豆粕，是鱼粉的需求量越来越好。</P> <P> ２、在外盘鱼粉稳中走强的势态下，给国内鱼粉的提价一个有力的支撑。由于国内直火鱼粉供应的相对短缺，天津港和上海港的许多贸易商惜售心理比较强，也使得鱼粉价格保持坚挺稳定的势态。</P> <P> ３、今年以来饲料原料的走高给饲料厂带来一定的压力，饲料厂的利润有所降低，饲料价格的上涨又使得养殖户的积极性大受打击。豆粕的回落对鱼粉价格的走高也有一定的压力。</P> <P> ４、油价的大幅走高。本月，国际原油价格在各种因素影响下不断冲高。26日，受欧佩克轮值主席预计国际油价仍将走高以及利比亚国家石油公司威胁减产的消息影响，纽约、伦敦两地油价均突破每桶140美元，创下新的收盘记录。欧佩克轮值主席、阿尔及利亚能源和矿业部长哈利勒预测，国际市场油价今年夏天有可能升至每桶150美元至170美元。此前，高盛公司在5月预计未来两年内国际市场油价将升至200美元，并将今年下半年的原油平均价格从每桶107美元调高至141美元。此外美元对欧元等主要货币汇率下跌也推动了国际油价走高。受此影响，当日纽约股市大跌3%，欧洲股市普遍下跌，石油化工产品价格纷纷出现上涨。国际油价的高位将对鱼粉价格形成强势支撑。</P> <P></p><p align='center'><b><font color='red'>[1]</font> <a href='/fishmeal/fishmeal_forecast/200806/208063_2.html'>[2]</a> <a href='/fishmeal/fishmeal_forecast/200806/208063_2.html'>下一页</a> </b></p></div> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> //<![CDATA[ var allow_keyword = '1'; 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