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</td> </tr> </table> <table cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=880 align=center border=0> <tr> <td class=w width=749 bgColor=#009664 height=5></td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> </table> <table width="884" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"> <tr> <td align="center"><table width="880" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2"> <tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#D9EED5">您现在的位置： <a class='LinkPath' href='http://www.feedtrade.com.cn/'>中国饲料行业信息网</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/market/Index.html'>市场</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/market/additive/Index.html'>添加剂</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/market/additive/additive_forecast/Index.html'>分析预测</a> >> 市场正文</td> </tr> </table> <table width="850" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td height="4"></td> </tr> </table></td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center"><table width="880" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td width="585" align="center" valign="top" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1" bgcolor="#999999"> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="96%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="０" cellspacing="０"> <tr> <td height="50" align="center"><h1>VC 最后一个值得期待大涨的维生素</h1></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="24" align="center"><table width="88%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1"> <tr> <td>文章来源：<font color="#000099">顶点财经</font></td> <td>更新时间：<font color="#000099">2008-5-13 15:51:47</font></td> <td>点击数：<script language='javascript' src='/market/GetHits.asp?ArticleID=196723'></script></td> <td><img src="/img/talk.gif" width="15" height="13"></td> <td><a href="#comment">评论本文</a></td> </tr> </table></td> </tr> </table></td> </tr> </table> <table width="585" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td height="4"></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="70"><script language='javascript' src='/AD/200703/146.js'></script></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="4"></td> </tr> </table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1" bgcolor="#999999"> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="96%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tr> <td align="left" height="10"></td> </tr> <tr> <td align="left" class="text"><div class="ReplyContent"><P><STRONG> VC价格上涨超出预期</STRONG></P> <P> VC价格上涨超出我们预期，5.1节前80-85元/公斤，5.1节后上涨90-95元/公斤，今日提价到120元/公斤。比年初60元/公斤的价格上涨了100%。</P> <P> <STRONG>价格大涨值得期待</STRONG></P> <P> VC中国产能占了全球产能的80%，具有定价权，由于环保节能减排的原因，四大企业的产能都受到了不同程度的限制。VC以玉米淀粉为原料，国际粮食价格高涨的情况下，有涨价的强烈动机。由于我国的粮食价格还是以稳定为主，我国企业的竞争力比较突出。由于节能减排和煤电不联动的原因，沈阳某VC企业受到电力供应不足，产能限制因素超出预期。</P> <P> 我们认为VC价格在低位徘徊了10年后，有望回到1990-1995年的美好时光。</P> <P> 我们预计今年VC上涨到150-180元/千克有比较大的可能，甚至超过200元/千克，出口平均成交价格7、8、9美元/千克的概率为99%、95%、90%。预期景气将持续到2010年。</P> <P> <STRONG>盈利能力将显著改善</STRONG></P> <P> VC2008年1-3月平均出口价格为6.9美元/千克，我们预计2008年平均成交价格不低于8美元，根据2008-2010年8美元计算，公司EPS 0.35、0.48、0.66。顶点 财经</P> <P> 如果VC平均成交价格为9美元，公司EPS为0.46、0.59、0.79；VC平均成交价格为10美元，对应的EPS为0.76、0.92、1.16。</P> <P> 2008-2010年30X、20X、15X的PE，对应价格为10.5-13.8元。</P> <P> 目前价格低估，而且VC上涨趋势建立，上涨持续时间不低于6个月，改增持评级为买入评级。摇钱术：曝光主力最新操作动向</P> <P></p><p align='center'><b><font color='red'>[1]</font> <a href='/market/additive/additive_forecast/200805/196723_2.html'>[2]</a> <a href='/market/additive/additive_forecast/200805/196723_3.html'>[3]</a> <a href='/market/additive/additive_forecast/200805/196723_4.html'>[4]</a> <a href='/market/additive/additive_forecast/200805/196723_5.html'>[5]</a> <a href='/market/additive/additive_forecast/200805/196723_2.html'>下一页</a> </b></p></div> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> //<![CDATA[ var allow_keyword = '1'; var url= new Array(); url['阿根廷|http://www.feedtrade.com.cn/market/Search.asp?Field=Title&ClassID=27&keyword=阿根廷&Submit=+搜索+'] = ''; url['巴西|http://www.feedtrade.com.cn/market/Search.asp?Field=Title&ClassID=27&keyword=巴西&Submit=+搜索+'] = ''; url['博兴|http://www.feedtrade.com.cn/market/Search.asp?Field=Title&ClassID=27&keyword=博兴&Submit=+搜索+'] = ''; 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