</noscript><center> <!--顶部链接 begin--><script language='javascript' src='/ad/200806/282.js'></script> <table width="890" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"> <tr> <td align="center"><table width="880" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2"> <tr> <td align="left" bgcolor="#D9EED5">您现在的位置： <a class='LinkPath' href='http://www.feedtrade.com.cn/'>中国饲料行业信息网</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/market/Index.html'>市场</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/market/additive/Index.html'>添加剂</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/market/additive/anjisuan/Index.html'>氨基酸</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/market/additive/anjisuan/das/Index.html'>蛋氨酸</a> >> <a class='LinkPath' href='/market/additive/anjisuan/das/METmonthly/Index.html'>蛋氨酸月报</a> >> 市场正文</td> </tr> </table> <table width="850" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td height="4"></td> </tr> </table></td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center"><table width="880" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td width="585" align="center" valign="top" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1" bgcolor="#999999"> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="96%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="０" cellspacing="０"> <tr> <td height="50" align="center"><h1>CFT 3月蛋氨酸月报：蛋氨酸价格历史性突破</h1></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="24" align="center"><table width="88%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1"> <tr> <td>文章来源：<font color="#000099"><a href='/ShowCopyFrom.asp?ChannelID=9&SourceName=中国饲料行业信息网'>中国饲料行业信息网</a></font></td> <td>更新时间：<font color="#000099">2008-3-30</font></td> <td>点击数：<script language='javascript' src='/market/GetHits.asp?ArticleID=188554'></script></td> <td><img src="/img/talk.gif" width="15" height="13"></td> <td><a href="#comment">评论本文</a></td> </tr> </table></td> </tr> </table></td> </tr> </table> <table width="585" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td height="4"></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="70"><script language='javascript' src='/AD/200703/146.js'></script></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="4"></td> </tr> </table> <table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1" bgcolor="#999999"> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="96%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="０" cellspacing="０"> <tr> <td align="left" height="10"></td> </tr> <tr> <td align="left" class="text"><div class="ReplyContent"></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"></SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN> </P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"> </SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">2</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">、市场过于热情，饲料企业采购不甚积极</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"> 本月以来，蛋氨酸由于货源的短缺出现了疯长的局面，价格一直处于高位，饲料企业受其价格高位的影响，不敢轻易入货，使得市场上的成交一直是以小批量成交为主，目前饲料企业面对原料行情的高位，处境日益艰难，同时养殖行情恢复缓慢，所以目前市场上对蛋氨酸的采购能力也很有限，饲料企业只有采取随用随买的政策，尽量减小库存，以防造成损失，虽然，下旬以来蛋氨酸行情有所回落，但</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">48-49</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">元</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">/</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">公斤的价格仍然处于高位，饲料企业难以接受如此高的价格，所以，直至目前为止，市场上对蛋氨酸的需求仍显一般，饲料企业的采购一直不甚积极。同时由于目前厂家开始供货，货源紧缺局面有所缓解，这使得饲料企业的观望心理更甚。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>3</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">、蛋禽产品行情低迷，养殖户对市场信心不足</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"> 本月以来，全国大部分地区蛋禽产品行情都出现了不同程度回落，这对于养殖户而言无疑是巨大的打击，当前市场，饲料原料行情高涨，造成饲料的价格也在一路水涨船高，使得饲料企业的压力逐步转嫁到养殖户身上，养殖成本相对较高，同时行情的低迷，使得养殖户的利润很小，养殖户的压力逐步增大，部分小型养殖户甚至出现难以支撑的局面，养殖户对市场的信心不足，由此养殖户的补栏积极性明显受阻，同时，各地都有零星的禽流感疫情，使养殖户补栏积极性受挫。这是本月下旬蛋氨酸价格回落的因素之一。</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"> </SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">4</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">、原油高位，成本支撑作用依旧存在</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"> 本月，纽约商交所原油期货价格在电子盘中一度高达到每桶</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">106</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">美元。进入</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">2008</SPAN><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'">年以来，原油价格不断攀升，成为各界人士讨论的焦点。随着油价的上涨，各种化工原料的成本价格也不断走高，蛋氨酸的生产成本及物流成本也也相应上涨，这为蛋氨酸价格的走高提供了一定的支撑力。由于美元持续走软，近期原油价格在高位盘整。上周，伊拉克石油管道遭破坏，有分析师认为这将影响三分之一的伊拉克石油出口，所以，不排除原油价格再度走强。亦不排除蛋氨酸价格再度走高！</SPAN><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"> <B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"> 三、后期预测</B></SPAN><B style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN lang=EN-US style="mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"> 判定后期的市场价格将出现回落还为时过早，因为目前生产厂商的报价仍然相当高，都不愿意低价出售，因此近阶段国内的蛋氨酸价格还很难大幅下跌，后期市场应重点关注厂家动向和经销商的销售策略。</SPAN></P> <P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt"><SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'"></p><p align='center'><b><a href='/market/additive/anjisuan/das/METmonthly/200803/188554.html'>上一页</a> <a href='/market/additive/anjisuan/das/METmonthly/200803/188554.html'>[1]</a> <font color='red'>[2]</font> <a href='/market/additive/anjisuan/das/METmonthly/200803/188554_3.html'>[3]</a> <a href='/market/additive/anjisuan/das/METmonthly/200803/188554_3.html'>下一页</a> </b></p></div> <script language="javascript" type="text/javascript"> //<![CDATA[ var allow_keyword = '1'; var url= new Array(); url['阿根廷|http://www.feedtrade.com.cn/market/Search.asp?Field=Title&ClassID=27&keyword=阿根廷&Submit=+搜索+'] = ''; 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