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<td align="center"><table width="880" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"> <tr> <td width="585" align="center" valign="top" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="100%" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="1" bgcolor="#999999"> <tr> <td align="center" bgcolor="#FFFFFF"><table width="96%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="０" cellspacing="０"> <tr> <td height="50" align="center"><h1>CFT 9月棉粕月评：新旧交替 反季上涨</h1></td> </tr> <tr> <td height="24" align="center"><table width="88%" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="1"> <tr> <td>文章来源：<font color="#000099">本站原创</font></td> <td>更新时间：<font color="#000099">2007-9-30 9:26:25</font></td> <td>点击数：<script language='javascript' src='/market/GetHits.asp?ArticleID=165466'></script></td> <td><img src="/img/talk.gif" width="15" height="13"></td> <td><a href="#comment">评论本文</a></td> </tr> </table></td> </tr> </table> <table width="96%" border="0" align="center" cellpadding="０" cellspacing="０"> <tr> <td align="center" class="big"><hr></td> </tr><tr> <td align="left" class="text"><div class="ReplyContent"><P> 本月棉粕市场主要看点是：1、陈棉粕逐渐退出市场，新棉粕零星上市，但气温转凉提前影响新粕上市进度；2、豆粕持续疯狂上涨拉动棉粕上涨与需求；3、棉粕性价比优势凸显吸引需方大量抢购；4、南强北弱在供需差异。<BR><BR> 首先，<SPAN style="FONT-FAMILY: 宋体"><SPAN class=ht>一般情况，国内养殖业在国内传统佳节中秋节来临之际出现集中大量出栏，今年同样也不例外。大量出栏造成养殖业对饲料的需求暂时下滑，而新补栏对饲料消耗有限，因此饲料销售开始出现下滑。在理论上对棉粕的需求将会减弱，不过由于目前饲料厂正在积极备货，目前对棉粕市场较为有利。国庆后需求将会转若，因为由于天气转暖，水产养殖程度逐渐降低从而水产对棉粕的需求将会大量减少。而由于目前双节出栏对饲料需求也利空。</SPAN><BR></SPAN><BR> 其次，国内棉粕货源紧张，成就棉粕行情坚挺。目前国内主产区厂家库存较少，在CFT报价的油厂停报居多，现只有少数厂家开始加工棉粕，其中有山东夏津、博兴、河北、河南、山西等地区。山东夏津地区蛋白39%以上1430元/ 吨，蛋白40%出厂价1450元/吨，较上周涨40元/吨。博兴地区报价在1550元/吨左右。河南尉氏地区新棉粕出厂价在1480元/吨，饲料厂采购积极。南方地区如广州地区棉粕报价蛋白41-42%进厂报价1900元/吨，比月初上涨150元/吨。9月内新棉粕迟迟不上市，主要因为天气提前转凉影响籽棉上市，另外籽棉行情不好，农民惜售。导致棉籽也上市缓慢，价格走高，油厂收购奉献也增大，新棉籽加工受阻。预计10月中下旬国内油厂将会逐渐开机加工棉籽。<FONT color=#ff0000></p><p align='center'><b><font color='red'>[1]</font> <a href='/market/othermeal/eyes/200709/165466_2.html'>[2]</a> <a href='/market/othermeal/eyes/200709/165466_2.html'>下一页</a> </b></p></div> <script language="javascript" 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